VEGOILS-Palm Oil at near Two-Week Low on Economic Concerns
07/09/2011 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell to their lowest in almost two weeks on Tuesday as investors fretted over the worsening euro zone debt crisis that could put the brakes on economic growth and commodity demand.
In the past few weeks, the palm oil market has been supported by solid export demand in August and prospects of a stock draw in No.2 palm oil producer Malaysia.
"After a few months of strong exports, we expect the buying trend to slow a little. And of course, all eyes are on the debt crisis in Europe and the U.S. as this could slow economic growth," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage.
The benchmark November crude palm oil contract FCPOc3 dropped as much as 1.3 percent to 2,978 ringgit ($1,000.487)-- a level unseen since Aug. 26. The contract later settled at 2,985 ringgit.
Traded volumes stood at 23,014 lots at 25 tonnes each versus the usual 25,000 lots as more trading interest came back after the long holidays last week.
Technicals turned negative with Reuters analyst Wang Tao saying a bearish target at 2,887 ringgit has been established for palm oil as a medium-term downtrend that started from the June 3 high of 3,465 ringgit per tonne remains intact.
Palm oil exports for August dipped by a slight 0.5 percent from a month ago, indicating strong demand. Traders said this could cut into high stocks given lower production last month as estate workers took leave for the Eid holidays marking the end of the fasting month of Ramadan.
September exports are expected to slip further as importers like India and China wait for prices to come under pressure before committing to purchases, traders said.
Brent crude oil rose above $111 per barrel on Tuesday as expectations of a U.S. economic stimulus outweighed fears of recession and worries over the euro zone debt crisis.
Vegetable oil markets were still pricing in concerns over a global economic slowdown although worries that hot and dry conditions in the U.S. Midwest could hurt corn and soy yields supported prices to some extent.
U.S. soyoil for September delivery dropped 1.1 percent in Asian trade. The most active May 2012 soy oil on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange lost 1 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1102 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
M'ASIA PALM OIL SEP1 3090 -44.00 3090 3114 755
M'ASIA PALM OIL OCT1 3038 -41.00 3038 3060 1738
M'ASIA PALM OIL NOV1 2985 -33.00 2978 3014 11983
M'ASIA PALM OIL DEC1 2975 -28.00 2962 2999 5776
DALIAN SOY OIL MAY2 10380 -108.00 10296 10430 659984
CBOT SOY OIL DEC1 57.83 -0.43 57.50 57.98 238
NYMEX CRUDE OCT1 84.89 -1.56 83.20 86.50 67480
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 2.977 Malaysian Ringgit)