Malaysian palm oil futures up despite higher inventories
July 11, 2024 (New Straits Times) NEW DELHI – Malaysian palm oil futures settled higher on Thursday even as an industry regulator said inventories in June surged to a four-month high.
The benchmark palm oil contract for September delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 17 ringgit, or 0.43 per cent, to settle at 3,935 ringgit (US$839.91).
Expectations that exports are likely to pick up this month supported prices.
July production and export are expected to rise, said Anilkumar Bagani, head of research from India-based Sunvin Group said.
Also, higher palm oil imports by India, the world's biggest buyer of the tropical oil, helped prop up prices.
India's palm oil imports in June rose to reach the highest level in six months on robust demand from refiners for upcoming festivals.
Malaysia's palm oil stocks at the end of June rose 4.35 per cent from May to 1.83 million metric tons, the highest since February, the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) said on Wednesday.
Crude palm oil production declined 5.23 per cent from May to 1.62 million tons, while palm oil exports plunged 12.82 per cent to 1.21 million tons.
A Reuters survey had forecast inventories at 1.83 million tons, with output at 1.62 million tons and exports at 1.24 million tons.
Crude palm oil prices are expected to remain supported by tighter production conditions and strong demand from top buyers India and China, state agency Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC) said.
Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade rose 1.5 per cent. Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share of the global vegetable oils market.
Palm oil may retest support at 3,876 ringgit per metric ton, as its fall looks incomplete.
Oil prices were stable on Thursday with the Brent benchmark holding above US$85 a barrel, as investors balanced a bleaker demand growth view from the International Energy Agency (IEA) with indications of growing U.S. consumption.
Stronger crude oil futures make palm an attractive option for biodiesel feedstock. (US$1 = 4.6870 ringgit)