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MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Ends 3-Day Winning Streak as Soyoil Markets Drop; Bigger Stocks Eyed
calendar08-05-2015 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

* Palm tracks drop in soyoil markets, profit-taking drags
* Malaysia's April end-stocks f'cast to climb to 5-month high
* Palm oil to seek support at 2,148 ringgit -technicals

08/05/2015 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell on Thursday as comparative soy markets weakened and investors fretted about a build-up in stocks in the world's No.2 producer, cutting short a rally that had lifted prices up 6 percent in the past week.

Benchmark prices shot up from their weakest point of 2,070 ringgit on April 29 to a top of 2,200 ringgit on Wednesday, tracking big gains in overseas soyoil markets and as investors covered short positions after Indonesia approved a palm export levy to fund its biodiesel policies.

But prospects of swelling inventories in Malaysia, as well as investors booking profits from the rally, reined in gains, market players said.

"The preliminary data shows a much higher build-up in end-stocks. Market will see lots of position squaring ahead of MPOB on Monday," said Lingam Supramaniam, director at Malaysian-based commodities firm Pelindung Bestari.

By the midday break, the benchmark July contract  on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives exchange had edged down 0.5 percent to 2,173 ringgit ($605.80) a tonne. Total traded volume stood at 9,783 lots of 25 tonnes each, below the usual 12,500 lots.

Industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board will release official data on the country's April palm stocks on May 11. A Reuters poll estimate end-stocks rose to a five-month high of 2.13 million tonnes, with crude palm output climbing 11.5 percent.

Indonesia has approved a regulation requiring exporters to pay a levy of $50 per tonne of crude palm oil and $30 for processed palm oil product shipments, which is expected to take effect by the third week of May.

Analysts say the new tax may adversely impact Indonesian and Malaysian companies that are solely in upstream operations in the short term, but will be overall supportive to palm prices.

"We agree with the consensus view that this is a short term pain, but could potentially boost biodiesel consumption and consequently, CPO price, in the long term," TA Securities said in a note on Thursday.

The U.S. July soyoil contract was down 0.1 percent in early Asian trade, while the most active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 0.7 percent.   

Oil prices fell on Thursday after hitting 2015 highs in the previous session as an OPEC delegate indicated the group would stick to its strategy of pursuing market share rather than cutting output and traders took profit from a multi-week rally.
 
  Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0640 GMT
                                                                                                                            
  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      MAY5       0    +0.00    2158       0       5
  MY PALM OIL      JUN5    2180    -9.00    2169    2180    1523
  MY PALM OIL      JUL5    2173   -10.00    2161    2173    5361
  CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP5    5100   -26.00    5072    5168  920814
  CHINA SOYOIL     SEP5    5888   -42.00    5860    5958 1065614
  CBOT SOY OIL     JUL5   32.90    +2.50   32.69   33.03    3178
  INDIA PALM OIL   MAY5  446.00    +2.50  444.20  447.00     466
  INDIA SOYOIL     JUN5  595.35    +2.15  592.30  596.50   17155
  NYMEX CRUDE      JUN5   60.80    -0.13   60.26   60.84   12537
                                                                                                                            
  Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
  CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
  Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
  India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
  Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
 
($1 = 3.5870 Malaysian ringgit)
($1 = 6.2036 Chinese yuan)
($1 = 63.91 Indian rupees)