VEGOILS-Palm Ends Winning Streak; Slips on Strong Ringgit, Demand Concerns
* Palm buyers seen delaying purchases
* Palm oil's target at 2,214 ringgit aborted
* Palm prices may hit 2,200 rgt by end-June-analyst
17/04/2015 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures ended lower for the first time in five days on Thursday as the contract succumbed to the strong ringgit and concerns that demand in April would be weaker than anticipated.
The Malaysian currency the pricing unit for the benchmark palm contract, jumped as much as 1.5 percent to 3.6460 per dollar on Thursday, making the feedstock more expensive for overseas buyers.
Export demand in April, already sluggish in the first half of the month, may worsen as India and China look to delay purchases to next month to enjoy a duty-free policy on crude palm shipments from Malaysia, industry players said.
"Prices are down because of the strong ringgit and demand worries," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur. "Buyers will wait for next month's zero tax."
The benchmark July contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives ended 0.2 percent lower at 2,147 ringgit ($588) by Thursday's close, reversing gains in the morning session.
Total traded volume stood at 45,385 lots of 25 tonnes, well above the usual 35,000 lots.
The contract had notched up a four-day winning streak since Friday, lifted by a planned Indonesian levy that helped boost confidence that the producer would carry out its ambitious biofuel plans and soak up excess supplies of palm in the market.
The levy of $50/tonne on any crude palm exports shipped at a zero export tax rate was signed by the Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro on Tuesday and will come into effect once signed by President Joko Widodo, which Chief Economics Minister Sofyan Djalil said would take place this week.
Palm oil prices will likely trade at 2,200 ringgit by end-June, leading analyst Thomas Mielke said on Thursday, and may rise to 2,300 ringgit by end-2015, partly supported by weaker output of rival oils.
However, prices would continue to hold a fairly narrow range and were unlikely to break below 2,000 ringgit, Mielke, editor of Hamburg-based newsletter Oil World, said at an industry seminar in Malaysia.
At the same seminar, chairman of commodities consultancy LMC International James Fry provided a conflicting view, expecting stronger crude palm oil output coupled with poor biodiesel demand to drive up stocks in the second half of the year, weighing on prices.
In other markets, oil rose more than 3 percent on Thursday, pushing Brent crude to a 2015 high above $63 per barrel on increasing evidence that U.S. production is peaking, balancing a market that has been in heavy oversupply for more than a year.
The U.S. soyoil May contract fell 0.2 percent in late Asian trade, while the most active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange gained 1.1 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1039 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAY5 2175 +0.00 2167 2195 484
MY PALM OIL JUN5 2155 -5.00 2149 2185 10981
MY PALM OIL JUL5 2147 -4.00 2137 2177 21772
CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP5 4762 +62.00 4690 4802 886354
CHINA SOYOIL SEP5 5584 +58.00 5542 5642 1135694
CBOT SOY OIL MAY5 31.75 -2.50 31.72 32.00 5162
INDIA PALM OIL APR5 435.50 -2.50 435.00 439.40 365
INDIA SOYOIL APR5 604.50 -1.15 603.70 606.30 1020
NYMEX CRUDE MAY5 55.46 -0.93 55.29 56.54 37314
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.6540 ringgit)
($1 = 6.1967 Chinese yuan)