MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Oil Slips To 3-Week Low; Export Demand Caps Losses
VEGOILS-Palm Oil Slips To 3-Week Low; Export Demand Caps Losses
27/06/2013 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell to a 3-week low on Wednesday as investor sentiment remained fragile on weak overseas markets, although losses were capped by healthy exports and a still-weak ringgit.
Fears of a credit crunch in China, the world's second-largest palm oil buyer after India, sent Dalian soybean oil for a fourth straight loss. That weighed on palm oil as the two vegetable oils are close substitutes.
But rising shipments during June 1-25 over the same days in May, indicated by cargo surveyor data on Tuesday, provided some support to the market.
The benchmark September contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 1.3 percent to close at 2,380 ringgit ($743) per tonne on Wednesday, a shade above the
day's trough of 2,377 ringgit, a level last seen on June 5.
"We see U.S. and Dalian soybean oil continue falling to new lows, this has weighed on palm oil," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur. "But a weak ringgit and local fundamentals are holding the palm market, I see immediate support at 2,350 ringgit."
Total traded volumes on Wednesday stood at 22,812 lots of 25 tonnes each, lower than the average 35,000 lots.
The ringgit lost nearly 3 percent last week against the U.S. dollar, and has recovered slightly this week.
Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services reported a 9.6 percent monthly increase in shipments for the June 1-25 period, supported by higher festive demand from India and Pakistan ahead of Ramadan in July.
Consumption of the edible oil typically rises during the holy month as Muslims gather for communal feasts in the evenings.
Another cargo surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, will release export data for the same period on Thursday.
Palm oil prices have fallen in four out of the last five sessions but analysts expect stockpiling and bargain hunting to limit the price slump in the near term.
"We could expect decline in palm oil prices to be limited ... However, we forecast the rebound is likely to take place by the end of June and to be capped below the 2,500 ringgit level," Phillip Futures said in a note on Wednesday.
In other markets, Brent crude eased on Wednesday after strong U.S. economic data supported plans by the U.S. Federal Reserve to scale back its stimulus later this year, cutting the flow of cheap central bank money that has boosted market liquidity.
In vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December eased 0.6 percent in late Asian trade. The most-active January soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange
lost 0.7 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1009 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JUL3 2374 -26.00 2373 2385 515
MY PALM OIL AUG3 2382 -30.00 2381 2403 3383
MY PALM OIL SEP3 2380 -32.00 2377 2400 11224
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN4 5878 -42.00 5818 5960 649500
CHINA SOYOIL JAN4 7332 -64.00 7278 7442 1121452
CBOT SOY OIL DEC3 45.63 -0.32 45.60 46.11 3877
NYMEX CRUDE AUG3 94.88 -0.44 94.27 95.37 30137
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.203 ringgit)
Fears of a credit crunch in China, the world's second-largest palm oil buyer after India, sent Dalian soybean oil for a fourth straight loss. That weighed on palm oil as the two vegetable oils are close substitutes.
But rising shipments during June 1-25 over the same days in May, indicated by cargo surveyor data on Tuesday, provided some support to the market.
The benchmark September contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 1.3 percent to close at 2,380 ringgit ($743) per tonne on Wednesday, a shade above the
day's trough of 2,377 ringgit, a level last seen on June 5.
"We see U.S. and Dalian soybean oil continue falling to new lows, this has weighed on palm oil," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur. "But a weak ringgit and local fundamentals are holding the palm market, I see immediate support at 2,350 ringgit."
Total traded volumes on Wednesday stood at 22,812 lots of 25 tonnes each, lower than the average 35,000 lots.
The ringgit lost nearly 3 percent last week against the U.S. dollar, and has recovered slightly this week.
Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services reported a 9.6 percent monthly increase in shipments for the June 1-25 period, supported by higher festive demand from India and Pakistan ahead of Ramadan in July.
Consumption of the edible oil typically rises during the holy month as Muslims gather for communal feasts in the evenings.
Another cargo surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, will release export data for the same period on Thursday.
Palm oil prices have fallen in four out of the last five sessions but analysts expect stockpiling and bargain hunting to limit the price slump in the near term.
"We could expect decline in palm oil prices to be limited ... However, we forecast the rebound is likely to take place by the end of June and to be capped below the 2,500 ringgit level," Phillip Futures said in a note on Wednesday.
In other markets, Brent crude eased on Wednesday after strong U.S. economic data supported plans by the U.S. Federal Reserve to scale back its stimulus later this year, cutting the flow of cheap central bank money that has boosted market liquidity.
In vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December eased 0.6 percent in late Asian trade. The most-active January soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange
lost 0.7 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1009 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JUL3 2374 -26.00 2373 2385 515
MY PALM OIL AUG3 2382 -30.00 2381 2403 3383
MY PALM OIL SEP3 2380 -32.00 2377 2400 11224
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN4 5878 -42.00 5818 5960 649500
CHINA SOYOIL JAN4 7332 -64.00 7278 7442 1121452
CBOT SOY OIL DEC3 45.63 -0.32 45.60 46.11 3877
NYMEX CRUDE AUG3 94.88 -0.44 94.27 95.37 30137
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.203 ringgit)