VEGOILS-Palm Oil Ends Lower on Global Economy Fears
09/05/2012 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures closed lower on Tuesday, as investors fretted over the growing uncertainty in the euro zone after key elections and the weak U.S. economic data that cast doubts over the state of global economy.
Elections in France and Greece that produced changes in the political scene that may endanger austerity measures in the euro zone and disappointing U.S. jobs data pushed prices to a low at 3,311 ringgit on Monday, a level last seen on March 12.
Palm oil market pulled back before the midday break but bearish sentiment eventually dominated the market, paring gains this year to 5.5 percent.
"Cloudy outlook on formation of new governements in Europe still haunts market sentiment," said a dealer with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.
"This selloff towards the end is likely to be shortlived as bullish expectation is growing on the MPOB (Malaysian Palm Oil Board) and USDA (U.S. Department of Agriculture) planting report due Thursday."
Benchmark July palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 0.3 percent to close at 3,351 ringgit ($1,097) per tonne.
Traded volumes stood at 32,797 lots of 25 tonnes each, much higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
On the technicals front, palm oil will end its rebound in a resistance zone of 3,388-3,412 ringgit, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
But palm oil fundamentals look healthy as cargo surveyor data showed a strong export growth in April, which could have pushed palm oil stocks to a one-year low.
Market consensus showed that April stocks should continue to stay below the psychological 2-million-tonne mark, a Reuters median survey showed on Monday.
But some traders said that prices will likely not go up on expectation of lower stocks as it has already been priced in.
Industry regulator Malaysian Palm Oil Board will issue official data on output and stocks on Thursday.
Brent crude oil fell below $113 a barrel on Tuesday in a fifth day of losses as economic slowdown on both sides of the Atlantic deepened fears of lower oil demand at time of ample supply from major oil producers.
In other vegetable oil markets, the most active U.S. soyoil contract for July gained 0.6 percent while the most active Dalian soyoil September contract also increased by 0.5 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1020 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAY2 3355 -13.00 3355 3395 262
MY PALM OIL JUN2 3359 -10.00 3359 3395 3550
MY PALM OIL JUL2 3351 -9.00 3351 3388 19633
CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP2 8582 +42.00 8554 8614 111838
CHINA SOYOIL SEP2 9712 +48.00 9676 9738 347528
CBOT SOY OIL JUL2 53.88 +0.30 53.62 53.97 6742
NYMEX CRUDE JUN2 96.92 -1.02 96.71 98.12 22588
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.05 ringgit)