VEGOILS-Palm Gains on Tighter Supply; Europe Woes Weigh
18/04/2012 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures inched up on Tuesday on tightening global oilseed supply, although gains were limited as weaker exports and soaring Spanish borrowing costs weighed on sentiment.
Malaysian palm oil stocks dropped below the 2-million-tonne mark for the first time this year, reinforcing views of a tight global supply amid a lower soy crop in drought-hit South America.
But concerns of a slowing commodity demand also surfaced with Spain's surging borrowing costs stoking investor nervousness over euro zone debt woes and weaker global economic growth.
"Negative macroeconomic factors coupled with weaker export numbers may force traders to take profits. But fundamentally supply for crude palm oil and other vegetable oil is still very tight, so that should be supportive throughout the second quarter," said Alan Lim, research analyst with Kenanga Investment Bank in Malaysia.
At closing, benchmark July palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained a 0.5 percent at 3,503 ringgit ($1,143) per tonne.
Traded volumes stood at 32,201 lots of 25 tonnes each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
According to technical charts, a bearish target of 3,401 ringgit per tonne will only be confirmed if palm oil drops below 3,454 ringgit, Reuters market analyst Wang Tao said.
Malaysia's palm oil stocks for March fell to a seven-month low at 1.96 million tonnes, beating market estimates, forcing traders to ramp up crude palm oil purchases in fear of a potential shortfall. [ I D:nK7E7ND021]
Malaysian palm oil exports fell by close to 15 percent for the first half of April from a month ago, according to cargo surveyor data. Exports for refined products suffered declines as orders shifted to top producer Indonesia, which enjoyed a favourable tax structure.
Brent crude oil slipped to $118 on Tuesday, continuing a steep decline as rising Spanish debt costs raised fears of a new euro zone crisis that could derail economic growth.
In other vegetable oil markets, the most active U.S. soyoil contract for May gained 0.7 percent, tracking healthy Chinese demand for soybeans, while the most active Dalian soyoil September contract also edged up 0.2 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1003 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAY2 3515 +17.00 3490 3520 1117
MY PALM OIL JUN2 3513 +23.00 3480 3513 8856
MY PALM OIL JUL2 3503 +16.00 3468 3503 17163
CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP2 8862 +6.00 8842 8876 131816
CHINA SOYOIL SEP2 9886 +18.00 9852 9898 363416
CBOT SOY OIL MAY2 56.05 +0.39 55.61 56.05 3524
NYMEX CRUDE MAY2 103.62 +0.71 102.66 103.77 17121
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.067 ringgit)