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MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Oil Drops on Global Economy Concerns
calendar01-11-2011 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

01/11/2011 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures dropped on Monday, sliding along with other commodities as the dollar jumped on Japanese intervention to weaken the yen, and on continuing caution over the state of the global economy.

The dollar jumped to a three-month high against the yen and was up 1.2 percent against a basket of currencies after the Japanese move.

European policy makers laid out a basic framework to tackle the region's debt crisis last week, but there remains scepticism over the viability of plans to boost the bailout fund, recapitalise banks and impose losses on investors holding Greek debt.

Markets were also treading cautiously ahead of this week's Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting and U.S. economic data including jobs that will give insight to the state of the world's No.1 economy.

"Palm oil investors are taking profits on external developments and there appears to be a technical resistance to hitting above the 3,000 ringgit level," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage.

Benchmark January palm oil futures FCPOc3 on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange settled down 1.1 percent to 2,938 ringgit ($959.034). Last week prices hit 3,007, a level not seen since Sept. 22.

Traded volumes stood at 23,374 lots of 25 tonnes each, a shade lower than the usual 25,000 lots.

Exports are still strong although traders say orders could taper off in November as Europe, China and India buy less palm oil due to the colder months and as the Asian festive season comes to an end.

Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services reported an 8.5 percent rise to 1.65 million tonnes in October from a month ago. Another surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, saw an 11.9 percent jump in the same period.

But stocks are still expected to rise in October on higher production, some traders said.

"Stocks are expected to go up, if it doesn't that would indeed be bullish. But with this run of good exports the quantum of increase would be lower," said a trader in Malaysia.

Oil prices eased on Monday, with Brent slipping below $110, as the dollar rose against the yen following the Japanese intervention.

Lower crude oil and fragile global economic sentiment weighed on other vegetable oil markets. U.S. soyoil for December delivery dropped 1.3 percent in Asian trade.

China's most active May 2012 soybean oil contract tumbled 2.1 percent.

"Imports (of vegetable oils) should stay more or less the same as the Chinese are not looking to add on to their stockpiles," said Zhang Ruming, research manager at Liangyun Futures. 

"The euro zone deal has helped stabilise the market, but its effects will wear off as it's still not a long-term solution," he added.

  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      NOV1    2935   -36.00    2930    2945     396
  MY PALM OIL      DEC1    2944   -29.00    2934    2953    2685
  MY PALM OIL      JAN2    2938   -33.00    2932    2954    9556
  CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2    7950  -150.00    7932    8056   97438
  CHINA SOYOIL     MAY2    9196  -200.00    9172    9340  430532
  CBOT SOY OIL     DEC1   51.11    -0.66   50.96   51.73    5586
  NYMEX CRUDE      DEC1   92.53    -0.79   92.25   93.80   17233
                                                                     
  Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
  CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
  Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
  Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
  ($1 = 3.064 ringgit)