VEGOILS-Palm Oil Perks up Ahead of Industry Data
12/09/2011 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Friday as traders took up positions ahead of a slew of industry reports that could shed light on a decline in vegetable oil supplies.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture's supply-demand report on Monday will update the agency's crop forecasts in the light of hot and dry weather hurting U.S. soy yields that could lift soyoil's premium to palm oil.
On the same day, industry regulator Malaysian Palm Oil Board will issue August stocks data that may show declines for a second month as exports and local demand outstrip production during a key Muslim festival.
But cargo surveyors are likely to show a drop in Malaysian exports for the period September 1-10 as buying normalises,although some traders say top importers India and China are waiting for prices to fall still more before committing.
"Expectations of bullish USDA numbers are holding the market up. After that is over, have you seen what happens when you kick a rock off a cliff," said a trader in Kuala Lumpur.
The benchmark November palm oil FCPOc3 on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange settled up 0.8 percent at 3,050 ringgit ($1,019.56) per tonne.
Exchange volumes stood at 16,106 lots at 25 tonnes each versus the usual 25,000 lots in muted trading ahead of the industry data next week.
Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services is set to issue Malaysia's Sept. 1-10 palm oil exports and traders expect the levels at 379,000 tonnes -- some 36 percent lower than the same period a month ago.
"There is some normalising on export data. We need to watch and see if Indian buyers will wait for prices to come down a little for committing purchases," said another trader.
New palm oil export tax rules in Indonesia, the world's top palm oil producer, will kick in on September 15, a trade ministry official said on Friday.
That brings some clarity to the market confused as to when the changes will come into effect, after another official said October 1.
The taxes favour refined palm oil shipements. Traders said the minimal tax saving if palm oil firms sold RBD palm olein instead of crude palm oil would be $80-$100 a tonne.
Brent crude was steady on Friday, supported by tight supply in Europe and the United States, outperforming other commodities which were hit by gloom surrounding prospects for the global economy.
Other vegetable oil markets were muted ahead of the U.S. and Malaysian industry data next week.
U.S. soyoil for October delivery inched up 0.2 percent in late Asian trade. The most active May 2012 soy oil
on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.4 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1117 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
M'ASIA PALM OIL SEP1 3130 +15.00 3120 3140 380
M'ASIA PALM OIL OCT1 3087 +18.00 3079 3100 1658
M'ASIA PALM OIL NOV1 3050 +25.00 3033 3060 7895
M'ASIA PALM OIL DEC1 3039 +29.00 3022 3048 3392
DALIAN SOY OIL MAY2 10496 +36.00 10442 10502 508286
CBOT SOY OIL DEC1 58.48 +0.15 58.16 58.65 13
NYMEX CRUDE OCT1 87.86 -1.19 87.56 89.50 27979
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 2.992 ringgit)