Palm charts third day of losses on weaker soyoil, rising output
The Edge Markets (25/10/2018) - KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 25): Malaysian palm oil futures fell over 1% on Thursday to their lowest level in two weeks, tracking weakness in related edible oils and on forecasts of rising production.
Weaker crude oil prices also weighed on the market. Crude oil prices fell by around 1%, coming under pressure from sharp sell-offs in global stock markets, with U.S. stocks posting the biggest daily decline since 2011 to wipe out the year's gains.
Palm oil is used as feedstock to make biodiesel, and is less price competitive when crude oil prices are low.
The benchmark palm oil contract for January delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was down 1% at 2,179 ringgit (US$522.79) a tonne at the end of the trading day, a third straight session of declines.
Earlier in the session, it hit its lowest level since Oct 11 at 2,166 ringgit.
Trading volumes stood at 30,038 lots of 25 tonnes each at the close of trade.
Earlier falls in soyoil prices on the U.S. Chicago Board of Trade and China's Dalian Commodity Exchange weighed on palm, said a Kuala Lumpur-based trader.
"Our production figures are still rising, it's not good for prices. All in, we're burdened by a massive bearish outlook," he said.
"Once our current robust production ends, prices will stabilise, but for now they are retesting 2,000 ringgit levels."
Malaysian palm oil production is seen rising towards the year-end, in line with seasonal trend, before tapering off early next year.
Palm oil inventories in September rose to their highest in eight months, as production levels came in higher than exports.
In other related oils, the Chicago December soybean oil contract was slightly up 0.03%, while the January soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell as much as 0.9%.
Meanwhile, the Dalian January palm oil contract dropped 1.3%.
Palm oil prices are affected by movements of other edible oils, as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.
Palm oil may fall to 2,175 ringgit, as it has broken a support at 2,199 ringgit per tonne, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1055 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL NOV8 2071 -32.00 2068 2099 641
MY PALM OIL DEC8 2129 -24.00 2120 2137 4765
MY PALM OIL JAN9 2179 -21.00 2166 2186 13499
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN9 4664 -60.00 4646 4724 317012
CHINA SOYOIL JAN9 5670 -50.00 5654 5722 306240
CBOT SOY OIL DEC8 28.63 +0.02 28.53 28.65 3865
INDIA PALM OIL OCT8 580.00 -3.40 579.00 587 504
INDIA SOYOIL NOV8 756.7 -1.55 755.6 758.65 10510
NYMEX CRUDE DEC8 66.76 -0.06 65.99 66.98 122301
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
(US$1 = 4.1680 ringgit)
(US$1 = 6.9452 Chinese yuan)
(US$1 = 73.2275 Indian rupees)
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