Palm supported by weaker ringgit, rising demand outlook
The Edge Markets (19/03/2018) - KUALA LUMPUR (March 19): Malaysian palm oil futures edged up on Monday supported by weakness in the ringgit, its currency of trade, and with traders bullish about the prospects of improving demand.
The benchmark palm oil contract for June delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange rose 0.4% to 2,425 ringgit (US$619.25) a tonne at the close, after falling to a one-week low of 2,407 ringgit earlier in the session.
Trading volumes stood at 52,775 lots of 25 tonnes each on Monday evening.
"The market is supported in anticipation of better exports... But lower soyoil seems to be checking palm's upside," said a Kuala Lumpur-based trader, referring to soyoil on the U.S. Chicago Board of Trade.
Another trader in Kuala Lumpur added that a slightly weaker ringgit also added to palm's gains, as this makes the edible oil cheaper for holders of foreign currencies.
The ringgit slipped 0.2% to 3.9160 against the dollar on Monday evening.
Palm oil exports from Malaysia, the world's second largest producer, weakened 2%-5% in the first half of March versus the corresponding period in February, according to shipment data.
Demand is expected to pick up from regions such as the Middle East, as buyers stock up ahead of Ramadan which begins in mid-May this year.
The Muslim holy month sees devotees break day-long fasts with communal feasting, which incurs higher usage of palm oil for cooking purposes. Buyers usually start increasing purchases of palm oil, one to two months ahead of the festivities.
In other related oils, the Chicago Board of Trade's May soybean oil contract rose 0.2%, while May soybean oil on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 0.2%.
The Dalian May palm oil contract was also down 0.3%.
Palm oil prices are affected by movements in rival edible oils, as they compete in the global vegetable oils market.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices as of 1056 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL APR8 2433 -5.00 2426 2442 915
MY PALM OIL MAY8 2436 +7.00 2420 2439 10889
MY PALM OIL JUN8 2427 +9.00 2407 2428 21084
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY8 5108 -14.00 5056 5116 215062
CHINA SOYOIL MAY8 5686 -12.00 5646 5702 308694
CBOT SOY OIL MAY8 32.05 +0.07 31.87 32.1 17015
INDIA PALM OIL MAR8 640.40 -2.10 638.30 640.4 488
INDIA SOYOIL MAR8 767.2 -2.80 765.4 767.9 1800
NYMEX CRUDE APR8 62.13 -0.21 61.94 62.28 10979
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
(US$1 = 3.9160 ringgit)
(US$1 = 65.0800 Indian rupees)
(US$1 = 6.3301 Chinese yuan)
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