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MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Oil Down in Early Trade on Rising Output Forecasts
calendar08-08-2017 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

    * Market losses could be capped by limits in output gains - Trader
    * Palm still targets a range of 2,579-2,590 rgt/T - Technicals

08/08/2017 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures dipped in early trade on Monday on expectations that official production data due later this week will show rising output in July.

The benchmark palm oil contract for October delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 0.5 percent to 2,596 ringgit ($606.68) by the midday break.

Traded volumes stood at 14,474 lots of 25 tonnes each at noon.

"The market was down as it was expecting higher production data for July," said a futures trader from Kuala Lumpur.

"But now we are hearing production gains in August will taper off," he added.

Another trader said sentiment was dampened by some profit taking and position squaring in anticipation of higher production and stocks.

A Reuters poll of nine traders, planters and analysts forecast that Malaysian output in July will rise 11 percent to 1.68 million tonnes, leading to 6.5 percent rise in inventory levels to 1.63 million tonnes.

Official data from industry regulator the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) is scheduled for release on Thursday.

Palm oil production shows seasonal gains in the second half of the year, but industry players still expect the lingering effects of a crop damaging El Nino to affect yield.

In related oils, the October soybean oil contract on the Chicago Board of Trade was down 0.3 percent, while the January soybean oil on the Dalian Commodity Exchange gained 0.5 percent.

The January palm olein contract edged up 0.2 percent.

Palm oil is still targeting a range of 2,579-2,590 ringgit per tonne, according to Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.
   
 Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0440 GMT   

 Contract            Month    Last   Change      Low    High   Volume
 MY PALM OIL        AUG7      2595    +5.00     2593    2595       91
 MY PALM OIL        SEP7      2595    -6.00     2588    2614     1155
 MY PALM OIL        OCT7      2596   -12.00     2591    2620     8498
 CHINA PALM OLEIN   JAN8      5340    +8.00     5304    5396   422516
 CHINA SOYOIL       JAN8      6188   +28.00     6162    6226   294548
 CBOT SOY OIL       DEC7     33.94    -0.90    33.87   34.14     4708
 INDIA PALM OIL     AUG7    480.60    -0.90   480.40     481        9
 INDIA SOYOIL       AUG7     638.3    -0.30    637.6   638.3       70
 NYMEX CRUDE        SEP7     49.38    -0.20    49.37   49.73    26949

 Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
 CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
 Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
 India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
 Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel

($1 = 4.2790 ringgit)