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VEGOILS-Palm in Line For 4th Day of Gains on Dalian Strength, Falling Output
calendar07-07-2017 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

    * Palm hits over one-month top of 2,559 rgt/T
    * Market gains not seen sustaining-Trader
    * Palm may touch 2,551 rgt/T before reversing uptrend-Techs

07/07/2017 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rose to their highest in over a month in early trade on Thursday, in line for a fourth consecutive day of gains, tracking strength in related edible oils on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange.

Forecasts of falling production also lent support, traders said. A Reuters poll had forecast production to fall to 1.62 million tonnes in June, down 2.1 percent from the previous month.

End-stocks however are seen up 0.2 percent to 1.56 million tonnes, while exports are likely to drop 8.2 percent to 1.38 million tonnes on-month.   

The benchmark palm oil contract for September delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was up 0.7 percent at 2,555 ringgit ($594.60) a tonne at the midday break.

It earlier climbed to 2,559 ringgit, its highest since May 26. Traded volumes stood at 14,430 lots of 25 tonnes each.

"The market is up on Dalian strength. There is also short-covering on production figures," said a futures trader
based in Kuala Lumpur.

"The market will most likely come down later because the gains are overdone."

While palm oil production is seen rising during the second half of the year in line with the seasonal trend, June output is seen falling due to the Ramadan and Eid-al-Fitr holidays as plantation workers go on leave.

June data for Malaysia's palm oil inventories, production and exports is scheduled for release by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board on July 10.

Palm oil prices are also impacted by movements in related edible oils, as they compete for a share in the global edible oils market.

September soybean oil on the Dalian Commodity Exchange  was up 0.7 percent, while the September palm olein  contract rose 1.8 percent.

In other related oils, soybean oil on the Chicago Board of Trade was down 0.6 percent.

Palm oil may briefly touch a resistance at 2,551 ringgit per tonne before reversing its uptrend and falling towards 2,522 ringgit, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.
                  
  Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0534 GMT
 Contract          Month    Last  Change     Low    High  Volume
 MY PALM OIL       JUL7     2684  +14.00    2670    2688      84
 MY PALM OIL       AUG7     2605  +22.00    2589    2607    1239
 MY PALM OIL       SEP7     2555  +17.00    2540    2559    6448
 CHINA PALM OLEIN  SEP7     5418  +98.00    5342    5442  486670
 CHINA SOYOIL      SEP7     5986  +40.00    5952    6026  364534
 CBOT SOY OIL      DEC7    33.52   -0.17   33.43   33.71    4674
 INDIA PALM OIL    JUL7   485.90   +1.00  484.00   486.1     192
 INDIA SOYOIL      JUL7      643   -2.90   642.9  644.35    2190
 NYMEX CRUDE       AUG7    45.43   +0.30   45.20   45.78   37226
 Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
 CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
 Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
 India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
 Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
 
($1 = 4.2970 ringgit)
($1 = 64.7650 Indian rupees)
($1 = 6.8020 Chinese yuan)