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VEGOILS-Palm Oil Hits Near 3-Month Low Before Gaining on Low Supply Outlook
calendar15-02-2017 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

* Palm falls to 3,011 rgt/T, lowest since Nov. 25
* Market signals mixed in early trade, later up on tight supplies and better export forecasts - traders
* Cargo surveyor data due Wednesday after 0300 GMT

(Updates latest prices, quotes)

15/02/2017 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures came off near three-month lows to trade higher on Tuesday evening on concerns about a decline in February production, traders say.

Market signals, however, were mixed earlier in the day as some forecast output gains while exports in February are expected to improve, traders said.

Benchmark palm oil futures for April delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange were up 0.4 percent at 3,049 ringgit ($685.48) a tonne at the end of the trading day.

Earlier in the session, they hit 3,011 ringgit, their lowest levels since Nov. 25, 2016.

Traded volumes stood at 61,882 lots of 25 tonnes each on Tuesday evening.

A Kuala Lumpur-based trader said physical prices were still very strong, indicating that market supplies are still tight due to lower production levels.

Another trader added the market was supported by expectations of bullish export data from cargo surveyors for the first half of February due for release on Wednesday.

"That coupled with technical buying since palm prices rebounded off lows" had aided the market, said the trader.

Palm oil shipments in the first 10 days of February slipped up to 3 percent from the corresponding period in January, showed cargo surveyor data, as demand for the tropical oil waned after the Lunar New Year celebrations.

During the Lunar New Year celebrations, there is more demand for the tropical oil from top consumer China.

Output levels are still seeing the impact of the crop-damaging El Nino, but its effects are seen tapering off towards a bigger recovery by the second half of this year.

Production for January declined 13.4 percent to 1.28 million tonnes, its sharpest drop in a year, according to data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board on Friday. (MYPOMP-CPOTT)

Palm oil may stabilise around a support at 3,014 ringgit per tonne, and then rise towards a resistance at 3,089 ringgit, showed analysis by Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.

In other related edible oils, the March soybean oil contract on the Chicago Board of Trade rose 0.3 percent, while the May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1.4 percent.

The May contract for Dalian palm olein dropped as much as 2.2 percent.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1049 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume

MY PALM OIL FEB7 3289 +32.00 3259 3289 163

MY PALM OIL MAR7 3161 +28.00 3115 3163 1561

MY PALM OIL APR7 3050 +13.00 3011 3058 24833

CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY7 6088 -136.00 6082 6184 644586

CHINA SOYOIL MAY7 6828 -100.00 6822 6910 360880

CBOT SOY OIL MAR7 34.27 +0.10 34.1 34.32 6506

INDIA PALM OIL FEB7 568.10 -2.90 563.30 572.4 1479

INDIA SOYOIL FEB7 691.7 -5.25 690 696.9 8700

NYMEX CRUDE MAR7 53.35 +0.42 52.86 53.44 70511

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel

($1 = 4.4480 ringgit)
($1 = 66.9400 Indian rupees)
($1 = 6.8625 Chinese yuan)