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VEGOILS-Palm Hits Two-Week High on Weak Ringgit, Competing Markets
calendar29-05-2015 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

* Rgt down around 1.8 pct against dollar this week
* Palm oil may break resistance at 2,222 ringgit -technicals

29/05/2015 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures rallied to a two-week high on Thursday as traders took advantage of a falling ringgit, supported by gains in competing markets and signs that the El Nino weather phenomenon could already be hurting output in East Malaysia.

By the midday break on Thursday, the August contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives exchange was up 1.7 percent at 2,215 ringgit a tonne.  Prices earlier touched 2,219 ringgit, their highest since May 13.

Total traded volume stood at 23,892 lots of 25 tonnes each, well above the average 12,500 lots traded by midday.

Benchmark palm prices have pulled up from more than three-week lows earlier this week, following a surge in Chinese and U.S. soy markets, with robust export demand so far in May also fuelling the rise.

The ringgit had slipped around 0.33 percent to 3.647 per dollar by 0458 GMT, and has shed around 1.8 percent this week. A weaker ringgit makes palm cheaper for overseas customers.

Gains on Thursday were also supported by early signs that a strong El Nino weather pattern may be reducing output from the world's No. 2 palm oil producer, traders said.

Such a pattern results in below-average rainfall in top palm producers Indonesia and Malaysia.

"The weather in East Malaysia is unusually hot and dry," a trader at a local commodities brokerage told Reuters on Thursday, adding that the dry conditions were expected to continue in June. "Yields are already plunging in the states of Sabah and Sarawak."

The El Nino weather phenomenon predicted by meteorologists could push depressed palm oil prices as high as $700 a tonne this year, an industry group in top producer Indonesia said last week, although it said production was unlikely to be impacted until early 2016.

The U.S. July soyoil contract gained 0.44 percent in early Asian trade, while the most active September palm oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange was up 1.26 percent.

In other markets, crude oil prices recovered on Thursday after a two-day slide, although high U.S. stocks and strong global production, along with a firm dollar, were keeping markets under pressure.  
 
 Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0519 GMT
                                                               
 Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
 MY PALM OIL      JUN5    2175   +30.00    2155    2175     178
 MY PALM OIL      JUL5    2216   +37.00    2190    2217    2926
 MY PALM OIL      AUG5    2215   +37.00    2190    2219   12353
 CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP5    5150   +64.00    5048    5184  902584
 CHINA SOYOIL     SEP5    5764    -8.00    5720    5810  528266
 CBOT SOY OIL     JUL5   31.87    +1.80   31.67   31.98    5471
 INDIA PALM OIL   MAY5  457.20    +1.80  456.60  458.00      90
 INDIA SOYOIL     JUN5  601.20    +3.65  599.00  602.90    9215
 NYMEX CRUDE      JUL5   57.75    +0.24   57.56   57.87    6432
                                                               
 Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
 CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
 Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
 India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
 Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
 
($1 = 3.6475 ringgit)
($1 = 6.1995 Chinese yuan)
($1 = 63.8500 Indian rupees)