MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Eases After Monsoon-driven Rally, Drops 15 Pct This Year
VEGOILS-Palm Eases After Monsoon-driven Rally, Drops 15 Pct This Year
* Prices down 14.8 pct this year, biggest drop since 2012
* Palm oil holds on to December's gain as floods hit supply
* May retrace further to 2,245 rgt - technicals
01/01/2015 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell on Wednesday, but held on to this month's strong gains as monsoon floods curb output in Malaysia, although the market recorded a 15 percent drop this year due to plentiful global edible oil supplies.
The flooding could result in palm oil output declining by around 15 percent to 30 percent in December, Douglas Uggah Embas, the country's commodities minister, said on Wednesday.
The market is up 4.3 percent this month, its biggest rise since September, as production is likely to remain affected well into the first quarter of 2015.
"The nearby months have a premium to the forward months because the flood issue is so severe that people are expecting disruption to supply in the nearby months," said one palm oil trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.
"If you put trees under 15 feet of water, you're going to have a huge issue with quality. The fresh fruit bunches (FFB) have been under water."
Heavy rains over the past weeks have forced close to a quarter of a million people to evacuate from their homes and claimed 21 lives as of Tuesday, local authorities said.
The benchmark March contract ended 0.8 percent lower at 2,267 ringgit ($649) per tonne by Wednesday's close. The contract climbed to 2,308 ringgit on Monday, its highest since Nov. 4.
Palm recorded a 14.8 percent drop this year, its biggest decline since 2012, but losses were less steep than initially expected as fears of flooding crimping supply helped a recovery in prices that in September had plunged to five-year lows.
Traded volume stood at 27,497 lots of 25 tonnes each, below the usual 35,000 lots.
The Malaysian Palm Oil Association forecast crude palm oil production in Malaysia fell 21 percent in the Dec. 1-20 period compared with a month earlier.
A group of millers in southern peninsular Malaysia estimated crude palm oil production between Dec. 1-25 over the states of Johor, Pahang and Melaka plunged 37 percent from November, according to traders.
Palm oil may retrace further to 2,245 ringgit per tonne, as it has pierced below support at 2,283 ringgit, according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
In other markets, oil fell towards $56 a barrel on Wednesday and was heading for its biggest annual decline since 2008, pressured by weakening demand and a supply glut prompted by the U.S. shale boom and OPEC's refusal to cut output.
In vegetable oil markets, the most active May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.2 percent in late Asian trade, while the U.S. soyoil contract for March fell 0.5 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1049 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JAN5 2305 -9.00 2295 2307 249
MY PALM OIL FEB5 2280 -18.00 2277 2301 1215
MY PALM OIL MAR5 2267 -18.00 2261 2288 13388
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY5 5078 +0.00 5052 5098 382500
CHINA SOYOIL MAY5 5744 +14.00 5702 5754 301902
CBOT SOY OIL MAR5 32.89 -1.60 32.88 33.14 3399
INDIA PALM OIL DEC4 460.70 -1.60 460.70 462.00 389
INDIA SOYOIL JAN5 645.00 -5.90 644.60 652.80 26305
NYMEX CRUDE FEB5 53.23 -0.89 53.16 53.92 16537
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.4950 ringgit)
($1 = 6.2040 Chinese yuan)
($1 = 63.12 Indian rupee)
* Palm oil holds on to December's gain as floods hit supply
* May retrace further to 2,245 rgt - technicals
01/01/2015 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell on Wednesday, but held on to this month's strong gains as monsoon floods curb output in Malaysia, although the market recorded a 15 percent drop this year due to plentiful global edible oil supplies.
The flooding could result in palm oil output declining by around 15 percent to 30 percent in December, Douglas Uggah Embas, the country's commodities minister, said on Wednesday.
The market is up 4.3 percent this month, its biggest rise since September, as production is likely to remain affected well into the first quarter of 2015.
"The nearby months have a premium to the forward months because the flood issue is so severe that people are expecting disruption to supply in the nearby months," said one palm oil trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.
"If you put trees under 15 feet of water, you're going to have a huge issue with quality. The fresh fruit bunches (FFB) have been under water."
Heavy rains over the past weeks have forced close to a quarter of a million people to evacuate from their homes and claimed 21 lives as of Tuesday, local authorities said.
The benchmark March contract ended 0.8 percent lower at 2,267 ringgit ($649) per tonne by Wednesday's close. The contract climbed to 2,308 ringgit on Monday, its highest since Nov. 4.
Palm recorded a 14.8 percent drop this year, its biggest decline since 2012, but losses were less steep than initially expected as fears of flooding crimping supply helped a recovery in prices that in September had plunged to five-year lows.
Traded volume stood at 27,497 lots of 25 tonnes each, below the usual 35,000 lots.
The Malaysian Palm Oil Association forecast crude palm oil production in Malaysia fell 21 percent in the Dec. 1-20 period compared with a month earlier.
A group of millers in southern peninsular Malaysia estimated crude palm oil production between Dec. 1-25 over the states of Johor, Pahang and Melaka plunged 37 percent from November, according to traders.
Palm oil may retrace further to 2,245 ringgit per tonne, as it has pierced below support at 2,283 ringgit, according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
In other markets, oil fell towards $56 a barrel on Wednesday and was heading for its biggest annual decline since 2008, pressured by weakening demand and a supply glut prompted by the U.S. shale boom and OPEC's refusal to cut output.
In vegetable oil markets, the most active May soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose 0.2 percent in late Asian trade, while the U.S. soyoil contract for March fell 0.5 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1049 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JAN5 2305 -9.00 2295 2307 249
MY PALM OIL FEB5 2280 -18.00 2277 2301 1215
MY PALM OIL MAR5 2267 -18.00 2261 2288 13388
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY5 5078 +0.00 5052 5098 382500
CHINA SOYOIL MAY5 5744 +14.00 5702 5754 301902
CBOT SOY OIL MAR5 32.89 -1.60 32.88 33.14 3399
INDIA PALM OIL DEC4 460.70 -1.60 460.70 462.00 389
INDIA SOYOIL JAN5 645.00 -5.90 644.60 652.80 26305
NYMEX CRUDE FEB5 53.23 -0.89 53.16 53.92 16537
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.4950 ringgit)
($1 = 6.2040 Chinese yuan)
($1 = 63.12 Indian rupee)