VEGOILS-Palm Falls To Lowest in Over 6 Weeks, Industry Meeting in Focus
02/03/2013 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures fell to their lowest in more than six weeks on Friday, extending losses to an eighth straight session, as weak exports continued to weigh and investors turned cautious ahead of a key industry conference next week.
Traders were concerned Malaysia's palm exports, which one cargo surveyor said fell 9.1 percent in February, would decline further as a zero-percent export tax for the crude grade rises to 4.5 percent this month.
Focus is also shifting to Bursa Malaysia's annual palm oil conference next week, where leading industry analysts including Dorab Mistry and James Fry will present their price outlooks.
"The market is waiting for Dorab Mistry's forecast next week, which is likely to be bearish," said Alan Lim Seong Chun, a research analyst at Malaysia's Kenanga Investment Bank.
"February exports were weaker than the expected 3 percent decline. Besides that, soybean oil overnight also declined about 1 percent so that also pressured the palm oil market."
The benchmark May contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange slid 1.3 percent to close at 2,368 ringgit ($766) per tonne, a level last seen on Jan. 14.
Total traded volume stood at 30,079 lots of 25 tonnes each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
For the week, the edible oil posted a 6.6 percent loss, the worst since mid-November, tracking losses in the soybean oil market as improving South American weather boosts the supply outlook for soybeans.
Industry players are also keeping an eye on slowing palm oil output in Malaysia, the world's No.2 producer.
Less production could help ease inventory levels, which stood at 2.58 million tonnes in January, although slowing exports could mean the reduction in stocks will be slight.
In other markets, Brent crude slipped to a six-week low below $111 a barrel on Friday, weighed down by growth worries as political gridlock raised the prospect of massive U.S. government spending cuts.
In competing vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for May delivery fell 0.3 in late Asian trade. The most-active September soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange closed 0.7 percent lower.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1013 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR3 2350 -25.00 2340 2372 72
MY PALM OIL APR3 2360 -27.00 2358 2393 760
MY PALM OIL MAY3 2367 -30.00 2367 2405 15852
CHINA PALM OLEIN SEP3 6608 -66.00 6582 6646 655196
CHINA SOYOIL SEP3 8252 -58.00 8224 8284 574276
CBOT SOY OIL MAY3 48.97 -0.16 48.96 49.54 7139
NYMEX CRUDE APR3 91.10 -0.95 90.97 91.97 21485
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.09 ringgit)