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MARKET DEVELOPMENT
VEGOILS-Palm Oil Futures Drop To 11-Mth Low As Inventories Rise
calendar21-09-2012 | linkReuters | Share This Post:

21/09/2012 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures dropped to their lowest this year on Thursday amid rising inventory levels, while data showing a continued contraction in manufacturing in China -- the world's second biggest edible oils buyer -- also weighed on prices.

Futures tumbled to 2,804 ringgit per tonne, the lowest since October 2011, as global oilseed supplies were expected to pick up on expectations for crop yields across a drought-stricken U.S. Midwest to exceed forecasts.

Also weighing on prices was data that showed manufacturing in China contracted for the 11th month in a row in September, indicating the world's second largest economy remains on track for a seventh quarter of slowing growth.

"There is excess palm oil at ports, storage tanks are full and production is doing well, so prices are under pressure," said a Singapore-based trader with a global commodities house. "On top of that, the overall external market is also weak."

At closing, the benchmark December contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had lost 1.4 percent to 2,820 ringgit ($918) per tonne.

Total traded volume stood at 41,875 lots of 25 tonnes each, much higher than the usual 25,000 tonnes.

Exports remained strong according to latest cargo surveyor data, but traders said rising inventory levels that could surpass 2.2 million tonnes in September -- which would be the highest level for this year -- was weighing on the market. 

"Compared to last month, exports should be better. But the major thing is stocks have to go down for the market to move higher," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.

Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing said export shipments rose almost 15 percent during Sept. 1-20 over the same period a month ago, while another cargo surveyor, Societe Generale de Surveillance, reported an almost 13 percent increase from a month ago.    

In a bearish sign for palm oil, Brent crude eased below $108 a barrel on Thursday after the China data weakened sentiment in a market that is already reeling from Saudi Arabia's pledge to keep global crude oil prices low.

In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December delivery dropped 1.3 percent. The most active January 2013 soyoil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange closed 0.3 percent lower. 

  Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1017 GMT

  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      OCT2    2675   -30.00    2648    2700     533
  MY PALM OIL      NOV2    2775   -38.00    2747    2816    5959
  MY PALM OIL      DEC2    2820   -39.00    2804    2871   25650
  CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN3    7760   -52.00    7744    7852  224170
  CHINA SOYOIL     JAN3    9850   -32.00    9828    9944  533330
  CBOT SOY OIL     DEC2   55.53    -0.72   55.42   56.58   11404
  NYMEX CRUDE      OCT2   91.05    -0.93   90.66   92.15    2074

  Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
  CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
  Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
  Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
 ($1=3.071 ringgit)