VEGOILS-Palm Hits 1-Mth Top on US Weather Woes, Ramadan Demand
03/07/2012 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm oil futures rose to a one-month high on Monday, driven by a stronger demand outlook for palm oil as a worsening U.S. drought could further tighten global oilseed supplies.
Market optimism after Europe leaders agreed to shore up the region's troubled banks and rising demand ahead of the Muslim fasting month Ramadan that begins in end-July continued to support prices.
"Palm oil is up in line with the higher external markets on Friday thanks to the European summit. The persistent hot and dry weather in the U.S. also pushed prices up," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.
"Demand is there as we are moving into Ramadan. Demand from China and India will also pick up because there's the fear that prices will rise further."
Benchmark September palm oil futures on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 2.3 percent to close at 3,088 ringgit ($977) per tonne. Prices earlier touched a high of 3,090 ringgit, a level not seen since May 31.
Traded volumes stood at 26,314 lots of 25 tonnes each, a tad higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
On the technicals front, the outlook is bullish as palm oil will rise more to 3,155 ringgit, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao, based on a wave analysis.
Although the U.S. Department of Agriculture said on Friday in a report that U.S. farmers planted far more soybeans than they originally planned, it failed to ease concerns over a Midwest drought that has jeopardized a bumper harvest.
Lower soybean stocks for crushing into soybean oil will add support to palm oil, which is already trading at a discount.
Palm oil demand remains healthy with Malaysian exports for June rising by about 5 percent compared to a month ago, said cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services on Saturday.
Another cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance reported an almost 10 percent increase in exports for the same period.
Brent crude oil fell more on Monday after factory data in Europe and Asia pointed to a sharp slowdown in global economic activity and lower fuel demand.
Dry weather concerns that threatened to squeeze global oilseed supply also lifted other vegetable oil markets. U.S. soyoil for July delivery edged up 0.8 percent after hitting the highest level since May 9.
The most active January 2013 soyoil contract on Dalian commodity exchange closed 1.4 percent higher after touching its highest since May 11.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1005 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JUL2 3054 +62.00 3019 3054 15
MY PALM OIL AUG2 3070 +70.00 3037 3070 1224
MY PALM OIL SEP2 3088 +68.00 3046 3090 18384
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN3 8096 +98.00 8096 8224 242098
CHINA SOYOIL JAN3 9632 +136.00 9620 9746 520246
CBOT SOY OIL DEC2 53.28 +0.20 52.96 53.83 11299
NYMEX CRUDE AUG2 83.32 -1.64 83.16 85.05 37615
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.16 Malaysian ringgit)